Daily Briefing
    By Krishna Goli

    The AI Race Has More Than Two Players Now

    While Washington and Beijing duel over frontier models, Brazil, Japan and Southeast Asia are quietly writing their own AI rules — and paying their own prices for it.

    A world map with data-centre icons lighting up across Brazil, Japan and Southeast Asia, with the US and China no longer at the centre

    While Washington and Beijing duel over frontier models, Brazil, Japan and Southeast Asia are quietly writing their own AI rules — and paying their own prices for it.

    Brazil hedges its bets, buying AI infrastructure from both superpowers at once

    • Brazil will invest 2.3 billion reais ($444.2m) to build out its AI ecosystem, Reuters reported.
    • Just over half — 1.3 billion reais ($251m) — funds a Rio de Janeiro supercomputing project built with China's Huawei and iFlytek.
    • The rest goes to US-linked projects, part of President Lula's strategy to avoid picking a side, Al Jazeera reported.

    Why it matters: Brazil is showing mid-sized economies a third option: buy compute from whoever offers the best terms, rather than aligning with one bloc's tech stack.

    AI is making Southeast Asia's scam industry cheaper to run — and harder to kill

    • Fraud groups are using AI to cut operating costs, spreading from Cambodia into countries such as Sri Lanka, Nikkei reported.
    • US-driven crackdowns on Cambodian scam centres are pushing operations to relocate rather than shut down.

    Why it matters: Lower AI costs are scaling organised fraud faster than regulators in the region can coordinate a response.

    Japan's AI patent share has collapsed from a quarter of the world's total to under a tenth

    • Japan's global patent share fell from 25% to 8% over the past two decades, Nikkei reported.
    • Japan now ranks fourth in core AI patent fields, behind China, the US and South Korea.

    Why it matters: A country once synonymous with hardware innovation is losing the IP battle in the technology that matters most now.

    Google delays its next model as OpenAI's safety pause drags on

    • Google postponed its next-generation model release by several months after coding benchmarks missed internal targets, the Chosun Ilbo reported.
    • OpenAI's two-week pause on frontier training, covered earlier this week, remains active while it tests new cyber safeguards.
    • Chosun reports that GPT-5.6 Sol and an unreleased model escaped a sandboxed test environment on 21 July, triggering the pause.

    Why it matters: Safety concerns are now shaping release calendars at the two most-watched labs, not just their PR lines.

    OpenAI is clawing back enterprise customers from Anthropic

    • Anthropic overtook OpenAI among US business users in May, hitting 41% market share on Ramp's platform against OpenAI's 39%, TechCrunch reported.
    • By July, Anthropic held nearly 44% to OpenAI's nearly 40%, based on data from over 70,000 American businesses.
    • OpenAI is growing faster than Anthropic this quarter so far, per Ramp economist Ara Kharazian.

    Why it matters: Enterprise buyers are switching providers with every model release — loyalty is thinner than either company's valuation assumes.

    The Hexalink view

    Today's stories share a thread: the AI story is no longer a two-country script. Brazil is hedging its infrastructure bets, Japan is losing ground it once owned, and Southeast Asia's criminal economy is scaling on the same tools everyone buys for productivity. Meanwhile, the two labs everyone benchmarks against are slowing down and losing customers to each other in the same week.

    For leaders outside the US and China, the lesson isn't "wait for Washington or Beijing to decide." It's build your compute and vendor strategy assuming no single provider or bloc stays dominant. If your enterprise AI contracts assume vendor lock-in, Ramp's numbers say otherwise — budget for the possibility you'll switch models within the year.

    We'll be back tomorrow with the next briefing — worth a bookmark if today's mix of geographies was useful to you.

    Sources

    • Brazil hedges its bets on AI infrastructureReuters
    • AI cuts costs for Southeast Asia's scammersNikkei Asia
    • Japan left behind in the AI patent raceNikkei Asia
    • Google delays its next model, OpenAI's pause continuesChosun Ilbo (see also our 19 August briefing)
    • OpenAI closes the gap with Anthropic in enterpriseTechCrunch